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Rivian's Stock Gain Higher As EV Sales Ramp Up, Analyst Says

July 20, 2023
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Shares of Rivian Automotive Inc. experienced gains on Wednesday as Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh expressed a more bullish outlook for the electric-vehicle maker. Rakesh cited the potential for Rivian to surpass its full-year delivery target, attributing it to the continued strong sales momentum in the electric vehicle (EV) market.

While reiterating his buy rating on Rivian's stock (RIVN), Rakesh raised his price target by 11%, from $27 to $30. As a result of this positive assessment, the EV maker's stock climbed 4.4% during morning trading. The stock had previously risen 2.9% on Tuesday, breaking a three-session losing streak, but its gains tapered off during the day, closing Wednesday's trading session with less than 1% growth.

The stock has seen a remarkable rise of 54.7% in July, setting it on course for its most significant one-month gain since its IPO in November 2021. The previous record monthly gain, based on closing prices, was 33.3% in July 2022.

Rakesh praised Rivian's execution in its production ramps, citing the strong second-quarter deliveries report as evidence. He also noted the overall industry's positive trajectory in EV sales, which he believes could enable Rivian to surpass its estimated 50,000 deliveries for 2023.

Despite potential headwinds from a stretched consumer and high-interest rates, Rakesh expects robust sales momentum in the auto industry, particularly for EVs.

With the new $30 price target, Rakesh is tied with two other analysts for the second-highest among the 24 analysts surveyed by FactSet who cover Rivian. The most bullish analyst, George Gianarikas from Canaccord Genuity, holds a $40 target, according to Trade Algo.

On a separate note, Rakesh increased his stock price target for General Motors Co. (GM) to $40 from $30, but maintained a neutral rating on the automaker. While recognizing GM as a growing player in the EV space, Rakesh pointed out potential margin headwinds in its transition from internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles to EVs.

Over the past three months, Rivian's stock has surged by 101.0%, while GM shares have gained 14.8%. The Global X Autonomous and Electric Vehicles exchange-traded fund (DRIV) increased by 38.7% during the same period, while the S&P 500 index (SPX) recorded a growth of 10.1%.

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