Gold prices experienced a decline on Friday, threatening to erase the gains made earlier in the week. Despite signs of easing inflation in the U.S. and Europe, which have contributed to a rise in precious metals prices this month, the market remains uncertain about the potential for central banks to moderate interest rate increases.
In specific price movements:
The month has seen higher gold prices, with support building since the release of U.S. June inflation data earlier this month, revealing a slower pace of consumer price increases compared to August 2021. This indication of waning inflation has exceeded the expectations of Wall Street economists and even the Federal Reserve.
Data shows that prices based on the most-active contract have risen approximately 1.6% during the month.
Looking ahead, investors are eager to learn how this data will influence the Federal Reserve's plans for interest rate hikes, with Chair Jerome Powell scheduled to deliver his post-meeting press conference on Wednesday. The market has been optimistic in July, with hopes that the upcoming rate hike will be the last in this cycle, leading to a potential reclamation of the $2,000 handle on gold for bullish investors.
However, should the Federal Reserve signal a continuation of rate hikes beyond this month, it may prompt a pullback in gold prices, causing a decline back into the lower-$1,900 range.
Adding to the pressure on gold prices, the U.S. dollar was trading higher on Friday, standing at 101.17 and registering a 0.3% increase for the day.
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