In early Tuesday trading, U.S. stocks showed a mostly negative trend, pulling back from 16-month highs due to weaker-than-expected manufacturing data and indicators of a persistently tight job market.
The S&P 500 dipped by 11 points or 0.2% to 4,577, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average showed a modest gain of 33 points, or 0.09%, reaching 35,592. The Nasdaq Composite eased 50 points, or 0.3%, to 14,295. In the previous session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 100 points, or 0.28%, to 35,560, the S&P 500 increased by 7 points, or 0.15%, to 4,589, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 29 points, or 0.21%, to 14,346.
Investors are approaching the start of August cautiously, as markets take a breather after a robust five-month winning streak, the best since two years ago. The S&P 500 index recently closed at a 16-month high, having recorded a 19.5% gain so far in 2023. This positive sentiment was driven by cooling U.S. inflation and optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve's potential halt to raising interest rates.
The current pullback comes amidst an overall well-received second-quarter earnings season, with corporate results supporting market sentiment. Notable companies presenting their earnings on Tuesday include Uber Technologies, Caterpillar, Pfizer, Sysco, and Molson Coors.
Investors will closely monitor jobs data during the week, as the Federal Reserve seeks evidence of easing inflationary pressures stemming from the labor market. The recent JOLTS report showed a still-tight job market, with job openings slightly dropping to 9.58 million in June and the number of quitting workers decreasing to 3.8 million. Despite the gradual decline, the labor market remains strong, providing workers with significant leverage.
Although the manufacturing report for July showed a slight increase to 46.4% (up from 46%), it was still below expectations, indicating contraction. The final S&P manufacturing PMI for July remained at 49, the same as the initial read. Additionally, construction spending increased in June but fell short of analyst consensus, rising by 0.5% instead of the expected 0.9%.
Investors appear to be favoring the idea of a stable economic environment, even if the job market shows limited slack. Overall, the market's response has been positive, with hopes for a smooth transition to economic stability. As the week progresses, the ADP private sector jobs report, weekly initial unemployment claims, and the July jobs report will provide further insights into the labor market and the economy's direction.
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