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The U.S. Stock Market Opens Higher As Traders Await The Fed's Decision

May 3, 2023
minute read

On Wednesday, U.S. stock indexes opened higher, recovering from the previous day's sharp selloff, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.3% to around 4,131, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.1% to around 33,723, and the Nasdaq Composite adding 0.4% to 12,128. 

The positive tone of the traders was driven by the focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, due later in the day, and the news conference from Fed Chair Jay Powell that follows. 

The market is expecting a 25-basis-point rate hike to a range of 5% to 5.25%, with investors keenly looking forward to gauging whether this marks the final tightening of the cycle.

However, traders have been rattled by more banking sector angst, the debt ceiling debate in Congress, and signs that the U.S. labor market may be weakening. These factors have contributed to pushing the S&P 500 index down 1.2% on Tuesday. 

Susannah Streeter, Head of Money and Markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, noted that caution is set to take center stage ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision, as investors mull over what lies ahead for the U.S. economy. 

Streeter expressed worries that regional banks may be facing a maelstrom of problems and that there could be another breakage as interest rates are set to be hiked again.

Amid these concerns, analysts remain unsure to what extent these factors would color the Fed's thinking. Strategist Jim Reid of Deutsche Bank noted that with another round of banking concerns swirling, all eyes will be on the Fed's decision later in the day and what Chair Powell has to say about the current issues in markets.

 Assuming the hike happens as expected, the bigger question will be what Chair Powell and the FOMC might signal moving forward, especially since market pricing currently suggests today will be the last move in the current hiking cycle, with futures still looking for around 64bps of cuts by year-end despite the more hawkish signals from the Fed.

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Bryan Curtis
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